Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.421008 0.466061 0.514497 0.570538 0.633714 0.702862 0.784462
2025-05-18 0.351162 0.413908 0.486400 0.576767 0.686981 0.817769 0.985812
2025-05-25 0.302821 0.371692 0.455079 0.564287 0.704729 0.880867 1.121024
2025-06-01 0.276623 0.351025 0.444666 0.572469 0.744362 0.970414 1.294964
2025-06-08 0.251442 0.328001 0.427519 0.568146 0.764640 1.033803 1.438034
2025-06-15 0.234035 0.312937 0.418521 0.572501 0.795301 1.112229 1.608651
2025-06-22 0.215140 0.293867 0.401897 0.563837 0.805460 1.160851 1.738913
2025-06-29 0.199889 0.278418 0.388694 0.558261 0.818616 1.213788 1.879975
2025-07-06 0.181563 0.257085 0.365228 0.535155 0.802532 1.219510 1.944677
2025-07-13 0.173555 0.250112 0.362059 0.542126 0.833110 1.300567 2.141944
2025-07-20 0.166112 0.243361 0.358561 0.547996 0.861959 1.380847 2.346271
2025-07-27 0.159040 0.236622 0.354475 0.552356 0.888299 1.458790 2.554729
2025-08-03 0.151591 0.228952 0.348607 0.553664 0.910151 1.532082 2.765751
2025-08-10 0.145786 0.223494 0.345866 0.559924 0.941066 1.624461 3.025232
2025-08-17 0.136773 0.212294 0.333017 0.547846 0.938141 1.654360 3.164087
2025-08-24 0.132400 0.208355 0.331809 0.555755 0.971923 1.755892 3.461967
2025-08-31 0.126139 0.200891 0.324167 0.551576 0.982676 1.813827 3.674760
2025-09-07 0.121844 0.196453 0.321348 0.555786 1.009510 1.905776 3.973594
2025-09-14 0.115745 0.188588 0.312095 0.547411 1.011041 1.946343 4.161468
2025-09-21 0.110570 0.182032 0.304738 0.542022 1.017931 1.998474 4.382946
2025-09-28 0.103122 0.171128 0.289042 0.519684 0.988703 1.971062 4.409937
2025-10-05 0.100538 0.168682 0.288436 0.526424 1.019779 2.077138 4.779891
2025-10-12 0.097943 0.166069 0.287351 0.532099 1.049020 2.182009 5.162267